SourceWalk the Talk? Measuring the Faithfulness of Large Language Model Explanations
Using a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate causal concept effects (CE) and explanation-implied effects (EE) via LLM-generated counterfactuals, the paper measures how well each model's natural-language explanations align with the concepts that actually drive its answers. On 30 BBQ questions, all four models show high faithfulness for context concepts (low CE, low EE) but low faithfulness for identity and behavior concepts. GPT-3.5 achieves the highest dataset-level faithfulness (f(x)=0.75), followed by Llama-3.1-8B (0.81), Claude-3.5-Sonnet (0.62), and GPT-4o (0.56). Two specific unfaithfulness patterns are identified: (1) GPT models refuse to answer when social identity information is present (a safety-alignment effect) but their explanations attribute the refusal to question ambiguity rather than to the identity information; (2) GPT models' answers shift when identity values are swapped (e.g., selecting the 'rich' person more often), yet their explanations never mention the identity concept.