A repetitive experiment compared GPT-4o's accuracy under the original prompt versus a CoT prompt that explicitly requests step-by-step analysis of telemetry. Across three trials, the median accuracy with CoT was lower in both sampling settings: 2.99% versus 3.58% for balanced sampling, and 5.37% versus 6.27% for oracle sampling. Manual review of a case study showed that CoT led GPT-4o to focus on the most superficially anomalous component (highest latency) rather than following the diagnostic guidance to trace the failure propagation chain to the originating component.
Evidence
correlational
Key metric
GPT-4o median accuracy: balanced 3.58% (original) vs 2.99% (CoT); oracle 6.27% (original) vs 5.37% (CoT)
Caveat
Only GPT-4o was tested in this comparison. The absolute accuracy numbers are very low, so the difference of 0.59 percentage points (balanced) may be within noise despite the median being reported over three trials.