Moirai

time-series · generative · anchor

Findings

• IC-537Moirai's architectural enhancements (any-variate attention, multi-scale patch embedding, diverse mixture distribution) improve in-distribution forecasting but reduce out-of-distribution scalability relative to a simpler encoder-only baseline

Shared mechanisms

• Scale-dependent behaviouralso in Aquila-7B, BEiT, BERT, BLOOM, Claude 2.1, Claude 3, Claude 3.5, CLIP / CLIP-ViT (LC), Code Llama, CodeGen, Cohere Command R, DeepSeek LLM, DeepSeekMoE, DeiT-III, DINO, DINOv2, EquiformerV2, ESCN, Falcon, FLAN-T5, Gemini 1.0 Pro, Gemini 1.5 / Gemini Pro 1.5, Gemma, Gemma 2, GPT-2, GPT-3 / GPT base, GPT-3.5 / ChatGPT-3.5, GPT-4 / ChatGPT4 / GPT-4 Code Interpreter / GPT-4 Technical Report, GPT-4o, GPT-J, GPT-Neo, I3D, Idefics, InternLM-2.5-7B, InternLM-XComposer2-VL, InternLM2, InternVL-1.5, InternVL2, LLaMA, Llama 2 / Llama 2 base, Llama 3, Llama 3.1, Llama 3.2, Llama-3.2-3B, LLaVA-1.5 / LLaVA-v1.5, LLaVA-NeXT / LLaVA 1.6, LongVA-7B, MAE, Mistral 7B / Mistral / Mistral 3 7B / Mistral-0.2-7B / Mistral-v0.1, Mixtral, Mixtral 8x7B / Mistral 8x7B Instruct / Mixtral 46.7B / Mixtral 8x7B Instruct / Mixtral-instruct-8x7b, MPT, MViT V2, O1 / OpenAI-o1-preview, OLMo / OLMo base, OpenCLIP, OpenFlamingo, OpenLLaMA, OPT, PaLM 2, Phi-3, Platypus2-Instruct-70B, Pythia, Qwen, Qwen1.5, Qwen 2, Qwen 2.5 72B Instruct, Qwen2-VL, Qwen-Audio, Qwen2.5, RedPajama-INCITE, ResNet / ResNet-152 / ResNet-101 / ResNet-50-BN, SlowFast, Solar 10.7B, Stable Diffusion, StableLM, Swin Transformer, T5, TerraMind, text-ada-001, TigerBot-70B-Chat, TimesFormer, TSM, Tulu 2, Uniformer, Vicuna, VideoMAE, ViLA-8B, Wizardlm, X3D, XGLM, Xwin-LM-70B-v0.1, Yi